Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.014712 0.018241 0.022817 0.029364 0.038807 0.052496 0.075029
2025-01-12 0.010330 0.014009 0.019466 0.028690 0.045209 0.076944 0.154901
2025-01-19 0.008617 0.012419 0.018622 0.030527 0.056093 0.120518 0.376576
2025-01-26 0.007695 0.011657 0.018658 0.033715 0.072338 0.204463 1.294244
2025-02-02 0.007014 0.011072 0.018742 0.037007 0.092705 0.362811 9.136300
2025-02-09 0.006218 0.010082 0.017725 0.037261 0.105100 0.552541 333.325725
2025-02-16 0.005603 0.009296 0.016895 0.037599 0.119031 0.877687 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005079 0.008589 0.016050 0.037521 0.132069 1.410486 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004534 0.007751 0.014720 0.035445 0.133375 1.870042 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004138 0.007162 0.013856 0.034519 0.140727 2.884400 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003887 0.006835 0.013549 0.035342 0.161450 6.550172 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003614 0.006427 0.012959 0.034945 0.174083 14.241060 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003267 0.005856 0.011958 0.033054 0.176117 30.045961 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003003 0.005440 0.011297 0.032294 0.189271 171.455168 NaN
2025-04-13 0.002873 0.005304 0.011344 0.034461 0.242970 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002799 0.005277 0.011687 0.038242 0.346753 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002723 0.005237 0.011983 0.042170 0.505948 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002571 0.004994 0.011620 0.042474 0.599484 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002438 0.004780 0.011300 0.042879 0.719419 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002309 0.004561 0.010927 0.042785 0.839364 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002151 0.004257 0.010225 0.040302 0.818250 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002031 0.004036 0.009768 0.039199 0.876309 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.001955 0.003920 0.009635 0.040180 1.120073 NaN NaN